After a big up day on Thursday, U. S. equities are testing their February 18th highs and are forcing a decision since the short-term bearish case does not allow for prices to rise above this prior peak. In the DJIA, Thursday’s advance slowed as it reached the 76.4% retracement level and this may turn out to be a good target. However, any turn down from below the February high would suffice.
While the extent of the recent rise is not a problem for the bearish case, the wave structure is troublesome. There is now conflicting evidence about whether prices should turn down or not and we need to respect that. Our video briefing discusses this situation in more detail and what we will be looking for.
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