Squawk Morning Briefing: Same Song; Different Verse

It may be Friday the 13th but it feels a bit more like the movie Groundhog Day where we are forced to endure the same day again and again. In case you have already forgotten, this is what we had to say yesterday morning:

U. S. equity markets extended losses on Wednesday and reached even closer to the decision points we have been watching to determine whether a turn down has begun from last week’s highs or whether we will see higher highs first. However, this is not a situation where the odds of decline increase the closer we get, especially without a pattern that clearly suggest a more clearly impulsive move to the downside. For now the move down is equally well explained as a corrective move from last week’s high.

The market is approaching the time when it needs to choose one path or another so this is the spot where we want to force the market to commit. That latest update on action which would demonstrate the markets intent appears in today’s videos. We know the parameters now we let the market show us where it’s going.

Simply substitute “Thursday” for “Wednesday” and the comments apply equally well to either day. It remains possible that we get yet another rerun today with yet another push closer to the important 12,450 level in the Dow and then yet another afternoon recovery, but sooner or later the market will need to move up or down far enough to tip its hand. Once again we’ve updated our videos with the latest indications that we’re waiting for. We want to be ready once the market finally signals its intent.

Read the Rest Now

The rest of this article is available to subscribers to the Elliott Squawk newsletter. Subscribers can login here to view the update. If you would like to receive this content, signup now for immediate access.

The Elliott Squawk Newsletter

Elliott Squawk delivers thorough market preparation every morning in time to take action during the trading day. By combining up-to-the-minute futures activity with traditional end-of-day analysis from cash indices, you receive analysis based on the latest conditions as the trading day sets to open. Each issue of Elliott Squawk goes beyond traditional Elliott Wave analysis because we recognize that trading Elliott Waves is much more than just looking at the most likely current count. Squawk will prepare traders to assess the market action as it unfolds by answering questions that any Elliott Wave trader should consider:

• What price levels and wave motions would confirm an expected move?
• What price levels would make an alternate scenario more likely?
• What technical indicators should be watched throughout the day to interpret wave action?
• What intermarket movements merit special attention to understand likely price trends?

Markets Covered:

Each day Elliott Squawk will update the outlook for the following markets:

• The Dow Jones Industrial Average
• YM e-Mini Dow Futures
• The S&P 500
• The EUR/USD cross
• The U.S. Dollar Index
• U.S. Treasury bond futures

From time-to-time when circumstances warrant, Squawk will present analyses of other markets that help interpret wave action in a covered market. For example:

• If S&P 500 and Dow counts are ambiguous and NASDAQ behavior helps identify the likely next move then NASDAQ analysis will be presented.
• If the EUR/USD count is ambiguous and the USD/CHF cross helps us to understand what might happen then we’ll present the intermarket analysis the Squawk subscribers.

At the end of the day Squawk subscribers will receive a brief market recap that summarizes how the day’s events compared with expectations and what issues are likely to be analyzed in the following morning’s Elliot Squawk.

About the Analysts

Kevin McEwen and David Starr are best known to First Wave chat room participants as Kevy99 and Managematics and by their reputation for their Elliott Wave counts that have predicted market turning points. Kevin has been counting Elliott Waves for 28 years, successfully forecasting market moves in virtually every financial environment. David brings together talents in financial market analysis and software development to his wave counting. He has authored many of the studies used by First Wave Traders as well as a number of proprietary studies to aid in counting waves.

To receive daily Elliot Squawk updates and get immediate access to this article and the entire archiive signup now.