Following an all-time high in 2011, the subsequent decline has taken on a distinct impulsive appearance. Supporting this view are the following observations:
- The presumed third wave is much longer and sharper than the first wave; and
- Following that decline we’ve seen consolidation which suggests only a fourth wave.
Until a fifth wave down is observed the expectation will be for additional downside one a forth wave complete. As of now, the Voodoo Fireline just below 1034 seems like a reasonable target.
Looking further out, a completed five-wave decline would setup a countertrend rally which would need to complete before another leg down.
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