Tomorrow’s BLS number isn’t the only game in town. This morning’s claims data and labor productivity data add to the overall jobs picture. After the cash markets open we’ll add to the broader economic outlook with ISM manufacturing and construction spending.
We expect that the ISM number will be closely watched. Regional Fed data suggests significant weakness, but yesterday’s Chicago PMI wasn’t quite as dire. ISM will give us one of the broadest pictures of manufacturing activity, but with the likely predictors mixed, we need to see the number. The Euro zone countries reported PMI numbers overnight, as did Great Britain. They both showed manufacturing contraction — another reason why today’s domestic numbers may be closely watched. Be prepared for volatility around 10:00 and, as always, it’s the reaction that matters the most.
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