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Archive for the ‘Newsletters’ Category

Squawk Morning Briefing: Time Frame And Risk

While we are aware of the possibility that a larger decline is in progress, there is nothing right now to confirm that to be the likely scenario. Short-term patterns are inconclusive, making them difficult to trade. From a risk management perspective, anyone trading based on the fact that longer-term patterns appear incomplete should […]

Squawk Morning Briefing: Kevin Filling In

David is dealing with family medical issues again so Kevin is filling in with his view of the cash markets. Not much has changed since Friday. Likewise, there isn’t much change to our view of the Euro which is hanging out just above the June 5th low.

Squawk Morning Briefing: Scary Friday The 13th?

U. S. equities are only just now coming into the area we anticipated for fourth wave action, so even with Thursday’s additional decline, it is too early to reject our view calling for new highs. However, there are elements of the decline which are starting to cause some worry.
It is the role […]

Squawk Morning Briefing: So Far So Good

So far, this pullback in U. S. equities is matching our expectations. While Elliott wave gives us a basis for that expectation, we always need to be alert for something that doesn’t go to plan and Elliott wave also gives us behavior that would tell us when to give up. Today’s videos update […]

Squawk Morning Briefing: Expected Pullback?

We’re starting to see a bit of a pullback in U. S. equities. We’ve known that one could come at any time but we’ve also expected that the decline would be limited. Today’s videos update our expectations.

Squawk Morning Briefing: Where Has All The Volatility Gone?

The slow grind higher has crushed the VIX. Lack of downside fear plus small intraday range have conspired to drain options of premium. Perhaps the summer months will bring some air pockets but for now, we still see the dominant direction as up until we can see a more obviously complete pattern

Squawk Morning Briefing: Will Anything Stop This Uptrend?

The uptrend continues. Sooner or later we will see a setback, but for now we expect it to be only that. Whether it comes sooner or later, the next moderate pullback should be only a pause in the uptrend. Afterward we can start looking for a bigger decline.

Squawk Morning Briefing: All About Jobs

We continue to hold our view that U. S. equities appear incomplete in their move to the upside. A pullback could be seen and it could come at any time. Will it come today? Who knows. The very short-term movements will likely be driven by the reactions to today’s jobs report. […]

Squawk Morning Briefing: ECB Rate Cut

Once again, minimal change in U. S. equities leads to minimal change in our outlook although we do cover a few small items of note in today’s videos. Perhaps the biggest item of note this morning is the ECB rate cut decision which is driving EUR/USD to fresh lows in the decline from May […]

Squawk Morning Briefing: Who Needs A Video?

Perhaps summer trading has already started, with tighter ranges and lackluster moves. What is clear, is that virtually nothing of note happened in U. S. equity indices yesterday and that leaves things virtually unchanged from the outlook we’ve been discussing for several days. When that happens, it seems a waste to watch a […]

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